The nonprofit trends worth planning around are structural rather than seasonal. Funding is arriving from fewer sources with more conditions attached. Staffing costs are climbing faster than budgets. Technology has moved out of the fundraising office and into the back office. And regulators, funders and boards all now expect documentation that most small organizations were never set up to produce.
None of that is a forecast. Each of these shifts is already visible in how organizations are being funded, staffed and governed, and the question for a small nonprofit is not whether they arrive but what to change first.